Atlante 2-1 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.33
Draw
30%
4.62
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-11.1pp
30%
Draw
18%
+12.0pp
11%
Away Win
12%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
2.24/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.92
+8% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
446 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tlaxcala
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
06.03.2024 Atlante Atlante 2-0 HT 2-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
30.07.2023 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
24.03.2023 Atlante Atlante 0-2 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
05.09.2022 Tlaxcala 0-5 HT 0-3 Atlante Atlante MEK2
13.01.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-1 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante edged past Tlaxcala 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atlante and 0.83 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Tlaxcala?

Atlante 2-1 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Atlante 59%, draw 30%, Tlaxcala 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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