Maritimo 2-0 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.75
Over
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.05
No
50%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira The Market 21%
-25% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.31/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.75
-16% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.9 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.56 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
246 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2025 Maritimo Maritimo 2-2 HT 2-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
18.08.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-2 HT 1-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
11.02.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-2 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
02.09.2023 Maritimo Maritimo 2-0 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
15.04.2023 Maritimo Maritimo 3-1 HT 2-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
28.10.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-1 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
2-0
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
2.39 xG 0.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
251 Passes 255
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Maritimo vs Paços De Ferreira
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Maritimo took care of Paços De Ferreira 2-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring. At 1.69 (~59%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The match data tells the story: possession split 52% to 48% in Maritimo's favour, shots finished 19-2, expected goals 2.39 to 0.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Maritimo against 0.83 for Paços De Ferreira.

Maritimo vs Paços De Ferreira Result & Final Score

Maritimo 2-0 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Maritimo vs Paços De Ferreira Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 54%, draw 23%, Paços De Ferreira 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5
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