Hermannstadt 3-3 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2025

Hermannstadt
3-3 HT 1-1
FCSB
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Romania - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Hermannstadt vs FCSB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
50%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.78
Over 2.5
56%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.64
6+ Goals
14%
15.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.64 — our 25% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hermannstadt v FCSB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 56%
+18% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.33/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.02
+39% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
13.5 Crosses 18.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Hermannstadt vs FCSB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermannstadt
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FCSB
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 1.90
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
208 Passes 533
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 42
10 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.07.2025 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
17.01.2025 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 0-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
25.08.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-0 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
16.12.2023 FCSB FCSB 3-0 HT 2-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
21.09.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-2 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
22.01.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM

Hermannstadt 3-3 FCSB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermannstadt
3-3
AWAY FCSB
1.96 xG 2.68
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
191 Passes 481
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hermannstadt vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermannstadt and FCSB shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FCSB at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hermannstadt had 34% of the ball to FCSB's 66%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.96 to 2.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hermannstadt and 1.33 for FCSB.

What was the final score of Hermannstadt vs FCSB?

Hermannstadt 3-3 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermannstadt vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hermannstadt 24%, draw 26%, FCSB 50%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FCSB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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