Universitatea Craiova vs UTA Arad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Universitatea Craiova v UTA Arad — Team-Based Signals
Universitatea Craiova vs UTA Arad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Universitatea Craiova
ROM
0-1
HT 0-0
Universitatea Craiova
ROMK
3-0
HT 1-0
UTA Arad
ROM
Universitatea Craiova 1-2 UTA Arad — Actual Match Statistics
UTA Arad squeezed past Universitatea Craiova 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Universitatea Craiova carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 71% of the ball to UTA Arad's 29%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 1.93 to 0.21 — on chances, Universitatea Craiova could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.33 for UTA Arad.
What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs UTA Arad?
Universitatea Craiova 1-2 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs UTA Arad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 62%, draw 20%, UTA Arad 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) went the other way.