Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
56%
+4.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.35/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.62
-8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Sokol Saratov
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
24.11.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-2 HT 1-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
12.10.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 5-0 HT 3-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
14.04.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-2 HT 0-2 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1-1
AWAY Sokol Saratov
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow and Sokol Saratov shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Torpedo Moscow carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 52% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 48%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 0.50 for Sokol Saratov.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Sokol Saratov?

Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 61%, draw 22%, Sokol Saratov 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5
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