Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.46/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.22
+24% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2025 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-2 HT 0-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
06.04.2025 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-3 HT 0-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
14.09.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 2-1 HT 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
18.05.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-2 HT 0-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
23.09.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-1 HT 2-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
05.10.2022 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1-0
AWAY Chernomorets
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk squeezed past Chernomorets 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Yenisey Krasnoyarsk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 48% of the ball to Chernomorets's 52%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 1.00 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Chernomorets?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 40%, draw 30%, Chernomorets 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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