Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.96
6+ Goals
7%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.24
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
12%
6.53
X/2
19%
4.9
X/X
15%
3.77
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
16%
3.37
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.45/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.20
-4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.3 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Krasnodar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.31 xG 2.79
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
226 Passes 426
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.04.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-2 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
21.10.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-2 HT 2-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
1-1
AWAY Krasnodar
1.48 xG 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
168 Passes 343
59% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad and Krasnodar shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Krasnodar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 40% of the ball to Krasnodar's 60%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.48 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 2.50 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Krasnodar?

Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 28%, draw 29%, Krasnodar 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Krasnodar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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