Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

Krylya Sovetov
1-1 HT 0-0
Zenit St. Petersburg
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
66%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
12.6
1/2
9%
23.1
1/X
6%
21.05
X/1
3%
14.55
X/2
21%
3.86
X/X
9%
6.34
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
37%
1.72
2/X
6%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
14%
-1.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
66%
Away Win
66%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Krylya Sovetov v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 70%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.16/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.73
+59% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
15.5 Crosses 20.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1

Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 2.13
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
256 Passes 586
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.12.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-3 HT 1-3 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
20.07.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-4 HT 0-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
30.03.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
31.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
22.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
09.08.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK

Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.75 xG 0.31
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
212 Passes 459
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov and Zenit St. Petersburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zenit St. Petersburg at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 36% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 64%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.75 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 2.00 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 13%, draw 21%, Zenit St. Petersburg 66%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ BTTS No
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