FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.98
6+ Goals
12%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
27.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
9%
6.76
X/2
15%
4.83
X/X
10%
4.41
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.08
2/X
6%
13.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 13% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.03/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.19
-24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
15.9 Crosses 21.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.83 xG 1.12
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
188 Passes 416
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
11.08.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
03.12.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
26.08.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
01.04.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
16.07.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1-2
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.45 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
253 Passes 351
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova edged past FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 46% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 54%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.45 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 0.33 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Spartak Moskova?

FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 28%, draw 24%, Spartak Moskova 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
9 Nov 2025
13:00 Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg Analysis →
15:15 Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Orenburg Analysis →
19:45 Baltika Kaliningrad vs Krasnodar Analysis →