Spartak Subotica 2-3 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
12.23
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
72%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
15%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
6%
+6.0pp
16%
Draw
15%
+1.7pp
72%
Away Win
80%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 84%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.10/2.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.74
+34% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +21%
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
200 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 84%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.0
11.8 Crosses 25.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.72 xG 2.88
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
210 Passes 526
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 46
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
26.10.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-5 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
16.12.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-4 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
19.08.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 3-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
05.04.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-4 HT 1-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
09.10.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 3-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
2-3
AWAY Kızılyıldız
1.58 xG 2.44
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
227 Passes 490
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 32
5 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız nicked a narrow win over Spartak Subotica 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 35% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 65%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 1.58 to 2.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Spartak Subotica and 3.50 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Kızılyıldız?

Spartak Subotica 2-3 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 12%, draw 16%, Kızılyıldız 72%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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