IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
37%
+8.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.17/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.12
-25% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.5 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Backa Topola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.97
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
216 Passes 384
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-2 HT 0-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
21.07.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
11.02.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-2 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
26.08.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1-1
AWAY Backa Topola
1.72 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
263 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd and Backa Topola couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was IMT Novi Beograd at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 46% of the ball to Backa Topola's 54%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.72 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.50 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola?

IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 46%, draw 24%, Backa Topola 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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