Bistrica 4-3 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
61%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
27%
-9.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
61%
Away Win
49%
+12.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.90/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.30
-10% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
290 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Triglav
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Bistrica Bistrica 2-3 HT 1-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
21.09.2024 Triglav Triglav 3-1 HT 2-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
17.03.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 1-3 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
03.09.2023 Triglav Triglav 2-1 HT 1-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
29.04.2023 Triglav Triglav 2-3 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
15.10.2022 Bistrica Bistrica 1-1 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
4-3
AWAY Triglav
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica edged past Triglav 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Triglav at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Bistrica had 38% of the ball to Triglav's 62%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triglav led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bistrica and 2.33 for Triglav.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Triglav?

Bistrica 4-3 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 18%, draw 21%, Triglav 61%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Triglav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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