Monagas 1-0 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.10/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.35
+6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
17.1 Crosses 11.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Zamora
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 271
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2025 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
24.08.2025 Zamora Zamora 2-3 HT 0-2 Monagas Monagas VEN
15.03.2025 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
12.10.2024 Zamora Zamora 2-4 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
13.04.2024 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
29.07.2023 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
1-0
AWAY Zamora
0.76 xG 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
361 Passes 332
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas nicked a narrow win over Zamora 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monagas as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Monagas had 50% of the ball to Zamora's 50%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.76 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Monagas and 1.33 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Zamora?

Monagas 1-0 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monagas 41%, draw 25%, Zamora 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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