Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.4pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.76/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.40
+24% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Once Deportivo
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.12.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-1 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
28.10.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-3 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
26.08.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-3 HT 1-2 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
11.04.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 5-1 HT 3-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
08.02.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 3-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 HT 0-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo and Once Deportivo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Luis Angel Firpo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 2.00 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Once Deportivo?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 43%, draw 32%, Once Deportivo 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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