Ajax II vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax II v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
Ajax II vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
3-0
HT 1-0
Ajax II
HOL2
5-1
HT 2-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
1-3
HT 1-1
Ajax II
HOL2
Ajax II 2-0 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax II saw off De Graafschap 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was De Graafschap at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Ajax II had 43% of the ball to De Graafschap's 57%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.67 to 0.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ajax II and 1.33 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of Ajax II vs De Graafschap?
Ajax II 2-0 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax II vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated an De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 34%, draw 24%, De Graafschap 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.