Utrecht II 0-4 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
13%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.76
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
13%
5.53
X/2
22%
5.58
X/X
15%
4.58
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
13%
3.8
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.24/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.94
-32% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
14.1 Crosses 19.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
0W-0D-6L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.67 xG 2.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
367 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
15.12.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-5 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
28.04.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
07.11.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
14.01.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 4-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
05.11.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-6 HT 0-4 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
0-4
AWAY FC Eindhoven
0.50 xG 2.22
65% Ball Possession 35%
7 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
542 Passes 234
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
10 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven ran out comfortable winners over Utrecht II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Utrecht II had 65% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 35%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.50 to 2.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Utrecht II and 3.50 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs FC Eindhoven?

Utrecht II 0-4 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 32%, draw 28%, FC Eindhoven 41%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Eindhoven), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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