Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 9 Dec 2025

📅09/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.23/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.84
-28% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kapaz
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
04.12.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERK
12.09.2025 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
13.04.2025 Kapaz Kapaz 0-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
10.02.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
22.11.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
13.09.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan got the better of Kapaz 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Araz Nahçıvan as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 0.17 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Kapaz?

Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 09/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 58%, draw 23%, Kapaz 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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