Kapaz 0-2 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.1pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 53%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.61/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+50% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.09.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
05.04.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-2 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
05.02.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 3-1 HT 2-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
10.11.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
03.09.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-2 HT 0-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan saw off Kapaz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Araz Nahçıvan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kapaz had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Kapaz and 1.00 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Kapaz 0-2 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 29%, draw 23%, Araz Nahçıvan 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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