Santa Clara U23 2-1 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Dec 2025

📅09/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.2pp
18%
Draw
25%
-7.0pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 26%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.72/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.74
-55% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Estrela U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
30.10.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 2-3 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
10.09.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
2-1
AWAY Estrela U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 squeezed past Estrela U23 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Clara U23 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 51% of the ball to Estrela U23's 49%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Estrela U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Clara U23 and 1.67 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Estrela U23?

Santa Clara U23 2-1 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 53%, draw 18%, Estrela U23 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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