Greuther Fürth 0-1 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jan 2024

Greuther Fürth
0-1
Ingolstadt
📅10/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Greuther Fürth vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greuther Fürth v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 42%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.81/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.29
+30% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Greuther Fürth vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ingolstadt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.53 xG 2.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
238 Passes 306
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-3 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth HAZ
17.07.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth HAZ
29.01.2019 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-1 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
10.08.2018 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
03.02.2018 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
24.10.2017 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-3 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AFK
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt nicked a narrow win over Greuther Fürth 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Ingolstadt made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greuther Fürth and 1.67 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Ingolstadt?

Greuther Fürth 0-1 Ingolstadt in the Friendlies on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 34%, draw 30%, Ingolstadt 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✗ BTTS Yes
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