10/01/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Operario PR vs Barra Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
28%
Draw
26%
44%
Away Win
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Operario PR v Barra — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Operario PR
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Barra
EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
8
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
6
277 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
402 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Operario PR vs Barra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Barra squeezed past Operario PR 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barra as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Operario PR vs Barra?
Operario PR 0-1 Barra in the Friendlies on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Barra?
Before kick-off our model rated an Barra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 28%, draw 28%, Barra 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barra), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Barra)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
10 Jan 2024