Varnsdorf 2-0 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
16%
4.08
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.32
No
48%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
28%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.4pp
16%
Draw
21%
-5.0pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
72%
-19.3pp
48%
BTTS No
28%
+19.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 58%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.86/0.90
-18% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jablonec
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 12
18.07.2015 Jablonec Jablonec 1-0 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
2-0
AWAY Jablonec
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varnsdorf saw off Jablonec 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jablonec at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 47% of the ball to Jablonec's 53%, shots finished 14-17.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Jablonec?

Varnsdorf 2-0 Jablonec in the Friendlies on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 31%, draw 16%, Jablonec 53%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jablonec) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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