10/01/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Nürnberg vs Club Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
26%
Draw
26%
42%
Away Win
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nürnberg v Club Brugge — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nürnberg
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Club Brugge
EU Bookmakers 50%
-50% /
-50%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+22% /
+22%
0.59/1.59
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.85/1.00
-55%
/
-14%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+21%
/
+22%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
277 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
363 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Nürnberg vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Club Brugge ran out comfortable winners over Nürnberg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Club Brugge?
Nürnberg 0-3 Club Brugge in the Friendlies on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Club Brugge?
Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 32%, draw 26%, Club Brugge 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Club Brugge)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
10 Jan 2024