Excelsior vs Dordrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Excelsior v Dordrecht — Team-Based Signals
Excelsior vs Dordrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HOL2
3-1
HT 0-1
Dordrecht
HOL2
3-0
HT 2-0
Dordrecht
HOL2
1-3
HT 1-2
Excelsior
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-1
Excelsior
HOL2
Excelsior 1-0 Dordrecht — Actual Match Statistics
Excelsior nicked a narrow win over Dordrecht 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Excelsior had 57% of the ball to Dordrecht's 43%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.25 to 0.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Excelsior and 1.00 for Dordrecht.
What was the final score of Excelsior vs Dordrecht?
Excelsior 1-0 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Excelsior vs Dordrecht?
Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 57%, draw 21%, Dordrecht 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.