Dordrecht 2-2 Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Sep 2024

Dordrecht
2-2 HT 0-0
Excelsior
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Dordrecht vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.53
2-3 Goals
38%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.84
1/2
12%
21.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
8%
7.82
X/2
12%
4.92
X/X
11%
5.85
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
15%
2.55
2/X
9%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.5pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dordrecht v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.27/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.23
+5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
15.4 Crosses 24.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Dordrecht vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Excelsior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.32 xG 2.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
281 Passes 394
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.12.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-1 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
10.09.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 3-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
30.04.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 3-0 HT 2-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
11.09.2020 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-3 HT 1-2 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
10.01.2020 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
13.10.2019 Excelsior Excelsior 3-2 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2

Dordrecht 2-2 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
2-2
AWAY Excelsior
1.12 xG 2.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
315 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht and Excelsior shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dordrecht had 52% of the ball to Excelsior's 48%, shots finished 14-25, expected goals 1.12 to 2.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dordrecht and 2.33 for Excelsior.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Excelsior?

Dordrecht 2-2 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 35%, draw 26%, Excelsior 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Excelsior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
20 Sep 2024
21:00 Den Bosch vs Emmen Analysis →
21:00 ADO Den Haag vs Telstar Analysis →
21:00 Helmond Sport vs Volendam Analysis →
21:00 VVV-Venlo vs PSV II Analysis →