Den Bosch 1-0 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 28% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.45
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
10%
5.47
X/2
19%
5.96
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
13%
3.88
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.35/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.27
+0% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
15.7 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Emmen
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.49 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
266 Passes 403
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.08.2024 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HAZ
03.05.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
10.11.2023 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
08.01.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
24.09.2021 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
23.04.2018 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
1-0
AWAY Emmen
1.58 xG 0.65
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
229 Passes 451
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch nicked a narrow win over Emmen 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Den Bosch found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Den Bosch had 37% of the ball to Emmen's 63%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.58 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Den Bosch and 1.67 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Emmen?

Den Bosch 1-0 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 35%, draw 25%, Emmen 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Emmen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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