FC Oss 1-0 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 10 Jan 2025

FC Oss
1-0 HT 1-0
MVV Maastricht
📅10/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

FC Oss vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.63
No
38%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
13%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.26
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
11%
6.33
X/2
18%
5.22
X/X
13%
4.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
30.5
2/2
15%
3.24
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 12% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
57%
+4.5pp
38%
BTTS No
43%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Oss v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.29/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.94
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.4 Crosses 12.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

FC Oss vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
0W-1D-5L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
301 Passes 426
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
22.12.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
10.11.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
10.02.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 5-1 HT 1-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
07.10.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
06.05.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2

FC Oss 1-0 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
1-0
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.05 xG 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
224 Passes 388
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 35
26 Crosses 43
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs MVV Maastricht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss nicked a narrow win over MVV Maastricht 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; FC Oss found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Oss had 39% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 61%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 2.05 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Oss and 2.00 for MVV Maastricht.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs MVV Maastricht?

FC Oss 1-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated an MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 35%, draw 25%, MVV Maastricht 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MVV Maastricht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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