FC Eindhoven 1-3 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.37 — our 28% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.07
1/2
14%
21.7
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
10%
7.66
X/2
6%
4.69
X/X
14%
5.73
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
25%
2.59
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.3pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +8%
1.19/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.50
-24% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
18.0 Crosses 18.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Volendam
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.10 xG 1.78
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
263 Passes 383
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2024 Volendam Volendam 4-1 HT 3-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
06.05.2022 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
06.08.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-2 HT 1-2 Volendam Volendam HOL2
27.02.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
01.11.2020 Volendam Volendam 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
06.12.2019 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-4 HT 0-2 Volendam Volendam HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
1-3
AWAY Volendam
0.80 xG 1.64
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
280 Passes 498
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam saw off FC Eindhoven 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 38% of the ball to Volendam's 62%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.80 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Eindhoven and 2.50 for Volendam.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Volendam?

FC Eindhoven 1-3 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 30%, draw 25%, Volendam 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Volendam)
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