Umm Salal 2-6 Al Rayyan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 51%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
0.71/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.89
-29% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
294 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 82%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
14.9 Crosses 20.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Rayyan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 2.47
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
226 Passes 428
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
09.08.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-1 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
12.03.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-2 HT 0-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
21.10.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
02.03.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-1 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
30.08.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
2-6
AWAY Al Rayyan
0.81 xG 3.63
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 14
5 Corners 11
199 Passes 356
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 45
8 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan swept aside Umm Salal 6-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Rayyan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Umm Salal had 39% of the ball to Al Rayyan's 61%, shots finished 9-27, expected goals 0.81 to 3.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Umm Salal and 1.33 for Al Rayyan.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan?

Umm Salal 2-6 Al Rayyan in the Qatar League on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 33%, draw 22%, Al Rayyan 45%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Rayyan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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