Raith Rovers vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities
Raith Rovers v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arbroath found just enough to beat Raith Rovers 3-2 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
We leaned Raith Rovers at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Raith Rovers against 1.17 for Arbroath.
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath Result & Final Score
Raith Rovers 2 - 3 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 45%, draw 30%, Arbroath 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.