Ayr United vs Airdrie Utd Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ayr United v Airdrie Utd — Team-Based Signals
Ayr United vs Airdrie Utd Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
a 1-1 draw left Ayr United and Airdrie Utd with a point apiece.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ayr United at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.83 a game for Ayr United against 0.67 for Airdrie Utd.
Ayr United vs Airdrie Utd Result & Final Score
Ayr United 1 - 1 Airdrie Utd in the Scotland - Championship on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ayr United vs Airdrie Utd Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 58%, draw 23%, Airdrie Utd 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ayr United) went the other way.