St. Mirren 0-2 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 36% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.1
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.81
X/2
10%
6.82
X/X
15%
4.21
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
12%
5.31
2/X
9%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +27%
1.17/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.11
-17% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +96%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
26.4 Crosses 21.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Falkirk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.57 xG 0.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
227 Passes 372
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
28.04.2018 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
17.04.2018 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
21.10.2017 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
05.08.2017 St. Mirren St. Mirren 3-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
15.04.2017 Falkirk Falkirk 2-2 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
0-2
AWAY Falkirk
0.54 xG 0.52
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
256 Passes 479
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk beat St. Mirren 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Falkirk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, St. Mirren had 38% of the ball to Falkirk's 62%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.54 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Mirren and 1.17 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Falkirk?

St. Mirren 0-2 Falkirk in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 40%, draw 31%, Falkirk 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Mirren) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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