Livingston 1-1 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 10 Jan 2026

Livingston
1-1 HT 1-0
Kilmarnock
📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Livingston vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.26
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
19%
4.97
X/2
11%
6.52
X/X
11%
4.2
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.96
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.13/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.39
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
265 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 67%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.4 Crosses 23.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Livingston vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kilmarnock
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
245 Passes 240
65% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.08.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 2-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
16.07.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKLK
07.02.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
16.12.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
21.10.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-1 HT 2-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
13.05.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP

Livingston 1-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
1-1
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.30 xG 1.49
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
385 Passes 212
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 21
32 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston and Kilmarnock couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Livingston at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Livingston had 61% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 39%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.30 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Livingston and 1.50 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Kilmarnock?

Livingston 1-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Livingston 43%, draw 26%, Kilmarnock 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Livingston) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Livingston) ✓ BTTS Yes
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