Livingston vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Livingston v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Livingston vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Livingston 1-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Livingston and Kilmarnock with a point apiece. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
Our pre-match lean was Livingston at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Livingston had 61% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 39%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.30 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Livingston and 1.50 for Kilmarnock.
Livingston vs Kilmarnock Result & Final Score
Livingston 1 - 1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Livingston vs Kilmarnock Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Livingston 42%, draw 30%, Kilmarnock 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Livingston) went the other way.