Hibernian 1-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.79
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
11%
13.2
X/1
12%
4.73
X/2
11%
7.61
X/X
8%
4.46
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
10%
5.85
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.53/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.22
+4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 69%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
24.1 Crosses 20.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Motherwell
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
295 Passes 364
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 2-0 HT 2-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
11.01.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 3-1 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
30.11.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-3 HT 0-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
05.10.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
15.05.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 3-0 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
13.04.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
1-1
AWAY Motherwell
1.31 xG 1.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
343 Passes 446
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
34 Box Touches 22
31 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian and Motherwell couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hibernian had 46% of the ball to Motherwell's 54%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.31 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hibernian and 1.00 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Motherwell?

Hibernian 1-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 47%, draw 26%, Motherwell 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernian) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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