Motherwell 2-0 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 25 Nov 2025

📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.45
6+ Goals
12%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.53
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
10%
6.53
X/2
12%
5.28
X/X
9%
4.7
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
25%
3.25
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.39/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.10
+30% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
234 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.8 Crosses 20.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hibernian
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.92 xG 1.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 Passes 327
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 3-1 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
30.11.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-3 HT 0-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
05.10.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
15.05.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 3-0 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
13.04.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
02.01.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 2-2 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
2-0
AWAY Hibernian
2.14 xG 0.77
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 2
746 Passes 261
94% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell beat Hibernian 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Motherwell had 70% of the ball to Hibernian's 30%, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 2.14 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Motherwell and 2.17 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Hibernian?

Motherwell 2-0 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 32%, draw 23%, Hibernian 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →