Ilkeston Town vs Morpeth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ilkeston Town v Morpeth Town — Team-Based Signals
Ilkeston Town vs Morpeth Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Ilkeston Town
İNGNLP
Ilkeston Town 3-1 Morpeth Town — Actual Match Statistics
Ilkeston Town got the better of Morpeth Town 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ilkeston Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Ilkeston Town had 57% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 43%, shots finished 15-3.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ilkeston Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Ilkeston Town and 1.50 for Morpeth Town.
What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Morpeth Town?
Ilkeston Town 3-1 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Morpeth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 46%, draw 27%, Morpeth Town 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilkeston Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.