Fasil Ketema 0-2 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.67
Draw
41%
2.7
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
34%
-8.7pp
41%
Draw
33%
+7.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.9pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
0.87/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.73
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fasil Ketema
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2025 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
16.01.2025 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
28.03.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 HT 1-1 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
0-2
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna got the better of Fasil Ketema 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 58% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 42%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Bunna led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fasil Ketema and 1.00 for Ethiopia Bunna.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Fasil Ketema 0-2 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 25%, draw 41%, Ethiopia Bunna 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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