Mekelakeya vs Bahardar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mekelakeya v Bahardar — Team-Based Signals
Mekelakeya vs Bahardar Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Mekelakeya 1-2 Bahardar — Actual Match Statistics
Bahardar edged past Mekelakeya 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Mekelakeya at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mekelakeya had 49% of the ball to Bahardar's 51%, shots finished 7-6.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bahardar led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mekelakeya and 0.67 for Bahardar.
What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?
Mekelakeya 1-2 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 42%, draw 31%, Bahardar 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.