Horsham 1-1 Wingate & Finchley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Horsham EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Wingate & Finchley EU Bookmakers 40%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+55% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Horsham
1-1
AWAY Wingate & Finchley
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Horsham vs Wingate & Finchley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Horsham and Wingate & Finchley couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Horsham had 61% of the ball to Wingate & Finchley's 39%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Horsham vs Wingate & Finchley?

Horsham 1-1 Wingate & Finchley in the England - Non League Premier on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Horsham vs Wingate & Finchley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Horsham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Horsham 39%, draw 24%, Wingate & Finchley 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Horsham), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Horsham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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