Nuova Monterosi 1-1 Rossoblu Potenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
21.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 33% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.03/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.69
-1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +38%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nuova Monterosi
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 1-0 HT 0-0 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi İTC
07.01.2023 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi 0-0 HT 0-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
11.09.2022 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 2-2 HT 1-0 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi İTC
23.01.2022 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi 3-1 HT 0-1 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
19.09.2021 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 1-1 HT 0-0 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nuova Monterosi
1-1
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nuova Monterosi vs Rossoblu Potenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nuova Monterosi and Rossoblu Potenza couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nuova Monterosi had 36% of the ball to Rossoblu Potenza's 64%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Nuova Monterosi and 1.00 for Rossoblu Potenza.

What was the final score of Nuova Monterosi vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Nuova Monterosi 1-1 Rossoblu Potenza in the Italy - Serie C on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nuova Monterosi vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rossoblu Potenza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nuova Monterosi 34%, draw 26%, Rossoblu Potenza 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rossoblu Potenza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rossoblu Potenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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