Chorley 1-3 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.97
Over
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.63
2-3
43%
1.79
4-5
22%
3.25
6+
7%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.63 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 38%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.07
+27% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Solihull Moors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
13.08.2019 Chorley Chorley 1-6 HT 0-2 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
1-3
AWAY Solihull Moors
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Solihull Moors saw off Chorley 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Chorley at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chorley had 43% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 57%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Solihull Moors?

Chorley 1-3 Solihull Moors in the England - FA Cup on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chorley 41%, draw 28%, Solihull Moors 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chorley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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