Welling United 0-3 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
51%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.23
Over Pick
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.47
2-3
40%
1.87
4-5
29%
2.86
6+
9%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+9.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
51%
Away Win
63%
-11.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 67%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.94/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.99
-19% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Barnet
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
21.03.2015 Barnet Barnet 5-0 HT 3-0 Welling United Welling United İBSL
01.11.2014 Welling United Welling United 1-2 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
12.11.2013 Barnet Barnet 0-0 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İBSL
05.10.2013 Welling United Welling United 1-1 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
0-3
AWAY Barnet
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet ran out comfortable winners over Welling United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Welling United had 40% of the ball to Barnet's 60%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Barnet led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Welling United and 2.00 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Barnet?

Welling United 0-3 Barnet in the England - FA Cup on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Welling United 26%, draw 23%, Barnet 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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