Peterborough Sports 1-0 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.91
Over
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.42
2-3
45%
1.77
4-5
19%
3.4
6+
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.42 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.01.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-2 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
27.08.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 2-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
1-0
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports squeezed past Kidderminster Harriers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Peterborough Sports found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 57% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 43%, shots finished 25-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Peterborough Sports and 2.00 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Peterborough Sports 1-0 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - FA Cup on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 36%, draw 27%, Kidderminster Harriers 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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