Hereford FC 0-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.07
Over Pick
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.92
2-3
39%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.09
6+
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 55%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.03/0.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.32
-26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Gateshead
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
15.01.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İCON
04.01.2020 Gateshead Gateshead 2-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
17.09.2019 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İCON
12.04.2014 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
07.09.2013 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 2-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
0-1
AWAY Gateshead
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead nicked a narrow win over Hereford FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gateshead as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hereford FC had 36% of the ball to Gateshead's 64%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hereford FC and 1.67 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Gateshead?

Hereford FC 0-1 Gateshead in the England - FA Cup on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 31%, draw 25%, Gateshead 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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