Saint-Paul Sport 1-2 Lege-Cap-Ferret — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
47%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.2pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.9pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Paul Sport The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lege-Cap-Ferret The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Saint-Paul Sport vs Lege-Cap-Ferret
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lege-Cap-Ferret nicked a narrow win over Saint-Paul Sport 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Saint-Paul Sport at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Saint-Paul Sport vs Lege-Cap-Ferret?

Saint-Paul Sport 1-2 Lege-Cap-Ferret in the France - National League 3 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Paul Sport vs Lege-Cap-Ferret?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Paul Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Saint-Paul Sport 43%, draw 30%, Lege-Cap-Ferret 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saint-Paul Sport) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Paul Sport) ✓ BTTS Yes
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