10/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
Dnipro-1 vs Arkadag Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
29%
Draw
24%
46%
Away Win
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dnipro-1 v Arkadag — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dnipro-1
EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY
Arkadag
EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
9
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
347 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
418 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dnipro-1 vs Arkadag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dnipro-1 edged past Arkadag 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Arkadag at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Dnipro-1 vs Arkadag?
Dnipro-1 1-0 Arkadag in the Friendlies on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dnipro-1 vs Arkadag?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arkadag win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dnipro-1 25%, draw 29%, Arkadag 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arkadag) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Arkadag)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
10 Feb 2024