Malacateco vs Xinabajul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malacateco v Xinabajul — Team-Based Signals
Malacateco vs Xinabajul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Malacateco
GUAT
Malacateco 1-0 Xinabajul — Actual Match Statistics
Malacateco squeezed past Xinabajul 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Malacateco had 57% of the ball to Xinabajul's 43%, shots finished 12-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xinabajul led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Malacateco and 1.83 for Xinabajul.
What was the final score of Malacateco vs Xinabajul?
Malacateco 1-0 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Xinabajul?
Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 52%, draw 26%, Xinabajul 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.