Club Guarani 0-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.09/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.13
-2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 1.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Libertad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-2 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
03.08.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
07.04.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 2-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
22.01.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
02.10.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
17.07.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
0-1
AWAY Libertad
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad nicked a narrow win over Club Guarani 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Club Guarani had 49% of the ball to Libertad's 51%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Club Guarani and 1.00 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Libertad?

Club Guarani 0-1 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 26%, draw 33%, Libertad 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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