Padova Calcio 1-0 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Feb 2026

Padova Calcio
1-0 HT 1-0
Carrarese
📅10/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Padova Calcio vs Carrarese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.43
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.3
X/1
7%
6.39
X/2
13%
5.74
X/X
14%
3.87
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.74
2/X
10%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.0pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Padova Calcio v Carrarese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.23/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.59
+5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
15.6 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Padova Calcio vs Carrarese Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Carrarese
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.83 xG 0.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
265 Passes 405
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.08.2025 Carrarese Carrarese 0-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTB

Padova Calcio 1-0 Carrarese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
1-0
AWAY Carrarese
0.64 xG 1.28
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
217 Passes 438
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio nicked a narrow win over Carrarese 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Padova Calcio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 36% of the ball to Carrarese's 64%, shots finished 13-22, expected goals 0.64 to 1.28 — on chances, Carrarese could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Carrarese?

Padova Calcio 1-0 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 33%, draw 33%, Carrarese 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Carrarese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Under 2.5
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