Sampdoria vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sampdoria v Palermo — Team-Based Signals
Sampdoria vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Palermo
İTB
Sampdoria 3-3 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics
Sampdoria and Palermo shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sampdoria had 47% of the ball to Palermo's 53%, shots finished 13-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sampdoria and 1.17 for Palermo.
What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Palermo?
Sampdoria 3-3 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Palermo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 30%, draw 30%, Palermo 40%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.